One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Raiders in one-score games

The Raiders haven’t played a one-score game yet in 2026; in 2025 they went 2–5, from play worth 4.4 wins in replays. Since 2019: 33–32 in 65 one-score games, 36.3 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Raiders win in replays (regular season).

2026 0.0 0–0

2025 −2.4 2–5

2024 +0.5 3–4

2023 +0.5 5–5

2022 −2.2 4–9

2021 +1.3 7–2

2020 −1.4 5–4

2019 +0.4 7–3

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	0–0	0.0 of 0	0.0	2–0
2025	2–5	4.4 of 7	−2.4	3–14
2024	3–4	2.5 of 7	+0.5	4–13
2023	5–5	4.5 of 10	+0.5	8–9
2022	4–9	6.2 of 13	−2.2	6–11
2021	7–2	5.7 of 9	+1.3	10–7
2020	5–4	6.4 of 9	−1.4	8–8
2019	7–3	6.6 of 10	+0.4	7–9

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Las Vegas Raiders, every season