2026 NFL season · after Week 3 · regular season
Referee calls, 2026: who they helped
Judgment calls helped the Vikings most in 2026: +0.89 wins, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t, each weighted by the moment it came. They hurt the Packers most: −0.46 wins. The Packers were flagged the most, 32 times.
Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued by what it did to the helped team’s chance of winning at that moment, including any play it wiped out, so a call in a decided game counts for nothing and one at the turn of a close game for most of a win. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.06), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued
| # | Team | Call luck, wins | Judgment flags against | For | Pre-snap flags against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vikings | +0.89 | 1 | 11 | 5 |
| 2 |  Colts | +0.39 | 4 | 11 | 5 |
| 3 |  Browns | +0.20 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Raiders | +0.17 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 5 |  Saints | +0.16 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 6 |  Bills | +0.12 | 14 | 11 | 1 |
| 7 |  49ers | +0.11 | 8 | 7 | 1 |
| 8 |  Texans | +0.09 | 11 | 15 | 5 |
| 9 |  Giants | +0.09 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 |  Chargers | +0.08 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 |  Broncos | +0.07 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 |  Cowboys | +0.06 | 10 | 10 | 4 |
| 13 |  Steelers | +0.05 | 9 | 10 | 3 |
| 14 |  Patriots | +0.04 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Seahawks | +0.02 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Titans | 0.00 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Panthers | −0.01 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 18 |  Commanders | −0.03 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 19 |  Jaguars | −0.05 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Eagles | −0.06 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 21 |  Cardinals | −0.09 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 22 |  Bears | −0.09 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 23 |  Buccaneers | −0.12 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 24 |  Dolphins | −0.13 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 25 |  Rams | −0.16 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Jets | −0.18 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
| 27 |  Lions | −0.19 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| 28 |  Falcons | −0.29 | 17 | 12 | 4 |
| 29 |  Bengals | −0.22 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 30 |  Ravens | −0.22 | 10 | 4 | 7 |
| 31 |  Chiefs | −0.23 | 10 | 6 | 5 |
| 32 |  Packers | −0.46 | 20 | 16 | 12 |
Call luck by team
Referee crews
Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: share of a win a game toward the home team.
| Referee | Games | Judgment flags per game | Pre-snap per game | Toward home team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Novak | 2 | 14.5 | 6.0 | −0.4% |
| Adrian Hill | 2 | 9.5 | 9.5 | +8.8% |
| Alex Moore | 2 | 11.0 | 5.0 | −1.3% |
| Brad Allen | 2 | 8.5 | 7.5 | −3.0% |
| Carl Cheffers | 2 | 9.5 | 5.5 | +6.3% |
| Ron Torbert | 2 | 9.0 | 6.0 | +10.5% |
| Bill Vinovich | 1 | 7.0 | 7.0 | −4.1% |
| Brad Rogers | 2 | 10.5 | 3.5 | −3.7% |
| Craig Wrolstad | 2 | 6.0 | 8.0 | −10.7% |
| John Hussey | 2 | 5.0 | 9.0 | −1.7% |
| Clete Blakeman | 2 | 6.0 | 7.0 | +3.2% |
| Clay Martin | 2 | 8.0 | 4.5 | −0.5% |
| Shawn Hochuli | 2 | 7.5 | 5.0 | +44.2% |
| Shawn Smith | 3 | 8.3 | 4.0 | +3.2% |
| Alan Eck | 2 | 7.5 | 4.0 | −3.2% |
| Land Clark | 2 | 4.5 | 7.0 | −4.5% |
| Alex Kemp | 1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | −10.7% |
All referees since 2019 · 2026 luck rankings · Expected wins