NFL · 2026 season after Week 3
NFL luck, replayed
The Vikings are the luckiest team of 2026 so far: 2 wins from play that, replayed with the same day’s form, was worth 1.0. The Chargers are the unluckiest: 0 wins from play worth 0.8.
2026 season
- Luck rankingsAll 32 teams, luckiest to unluckiest
- Expected winsReplay, coin-flip, Pythagorean and actual
- One-score gamesClose-game records, and if they flipped
- Referee callsWho the calls helped, and every crew
- Penalties by teamFlags, yards, and what gets called
- UpsetsEvery underdog win, and which were deserved
- Regression candidatesRecords built on bounces
