2026 season · in progress
Dallas Cowboys, 2026: game by game
The Cowboys went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.6 wins. Luck cost them 0.6: the 4th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–1.
Every game
How often the Cowboys win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Giants | L 20–28 | 85% | −85 |
| Week 2 | vs Commanders | W 37–20 | 79% | +21 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Cowboys’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Judgment calls | +0.06 | +1.4 |
| Fumble bounces | −0.05 | −4.7 |
| Drops | −0.06 | −2.6 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −0.06 | −2.0 |
| Kicks | −0.07 | +3.7 |