luckadjusted

2026 season · in progress

Los Angeles Rams, 2026: game by game

The Rams went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.0 wins. Luck cost them 0.0: the 16th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–0.

Every game

How often the Rams win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Week 1 vs 49ers L 7–27 11% −11
Week 2 vs Giants W 28–6 94% +6

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Where the luck came from

Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Rams’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.

KindWinsPoints
Kicks+0.06−2.9
3rd & 4th downs−0.05+0.3
Judgment calls−0.16−5.2