2026 season · in progress
Cleveland Browns, 2026: game by game
The Browns went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.4 wins. Luck added 0.6: the 7th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–0.
Every game
How often the Browns win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Jaguars | L 10–34 | 2% | −2 |
| Week 2 | @ Buccaneers | W 23–19 | 43% | +57 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Browns’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Judgment calls | +0.20 | +2.5 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.10 | −1.8 |
| Kicks | −0.02 | −2.3 |
| Drops | −0.07 | 0.0 |
| Fumble bounces | −0.08 | −3.1 |