2026 season · in progress
New York Jets, 2026: game by game
The Jets went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.5 wins. Luck cost them 0.5: the 9th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–1.
Every game
How often the Jets win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Titans | W 23–10 | 81% | +19 |
| Week 2 | vs Packers | L 17–20 | 66% | −66 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Jets’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.16 | +2.4 |
| Injuries | +0.05 | +1.7 |
| Drops | +0.04 | +1.1 |
| Fumble bounces | +0.03 | +3.1 |
| Judgment calls | −0.18 | −6.8 |
| Kicks | −0.22 | −0.9 |