2026 season · in progress
Minnesota Vikings, 2026: game by game
The Vikings went 2–0 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.0 wins. Luck added 1.0: the luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–0.
Every game
How often the Vikings win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Packers | W 39–22 | 45% | +55 |
| Week 2 | @ Bears | W 9–3 | 55% | +45 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Vikings’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Judgment calls | +0.89 | +19.9 |
| Kicks | +0.18 | +3.1 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.13 | +3.9 |
| Drops | +0.13 | +3.3 |
| Fumble bounces | +0.10 | +1.6 |
| Injuries | +0.06 | +2.1 |