2026 season · in progress
Los Angeles Chargers, 2026: game by game
The Chargers went 0–2 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.8 wins. Luck cost them 0.8: the unluckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–0.
Every game
How often the Chargers win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Cardinals | L 14–26 | 51% | −51 |
| Week 2 | vs Raiders | L 14–26 | 31% | −31 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Chargers’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Drops | +0.17 | +6.9 |
| Judgment calls | +0.08 | −0.1 |
| Injuries | +0.04 | +1.5 |
| Kicks | −0.07 | −4.6 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | −0.13 | −1.0 |