2019 NFL season · final · regular season

Referee calls, 2019: who they helped

Judgment calls helped the Packers most in 2019: +1.30 wins, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t, each weighted by the moment it came. They hurt the Saints most: −1.85 wins. The Buccaneers were flagged the most, 133 times.

Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued by what it did to the helped team’s chance of winning at that moment, including any play it wiped out, so a call in a decided game counts for nothing and one at the turn of a close game for most of a win. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.06), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued

#	Team	Call luck, wins	Judgment flags against	For	Pre-snap flags against
1	Packers	+1.30	54	79	45
2	Panthers	+1.14	55	67	32
3	Steelers	+1.01	64	81	47
4	Dolphins	+0.96	62	84	30
5	Texans	+0.93	58	76	53
6	49ers	+0.80	67	76	38
7	Patriots	+0.62	67	72	27
8	Broncos	+0.52	78	78	32
9	Giants	+0.47	66	73	24
10	Falcons	+0.41	79	77	40
11	Titans	+0.35	66	82	33
12	Colts	+0.27	59	75	20
13	Bears	+0.24	69	78	34
14	Bengals	+0.07	56	79	37
15	Browns	+0.04	79	65	43
16	Bills	0.00	69	58	47
17	Cowboys	−0.14	72	68	37
18	Cardinals	−0.18	75	77	46
19	Seahawks	−0.19	63	63	46
20	Lions	−0.20	79	77	34
21	Vikings	−0.24	69	61	27
22	Washington	−0.24	70	63	35
23	Chiefs	−0.36	84	76	23
24	Chargers	−0.44	68	73	35
25	Jets	−0.47	88	67	27
26	Buccaneers	−0.49	76	71	57
27	Eagles	−0.49	68	71	32
28	Rams	−0.51	69	63	49
29	Ravens	−0.84	68	54	41
30	Jaguars	−1.23	97	68	35
31	Raiders	−1.27	85	65	43
32	Saints	−1.85	92	54	28

Call luck by team

GB +1.30 1st

CAR +1.14 2nd

PIT +1.01 3rd

MIA +0.96 4th

HOU +0.93 5th

SF +0.80 6th

NE +0.62 7th

DEN +0.52 8th

NYG +0.47 9th

ATL +0.41 10th

TEN +0.35 11th

IND +0.27 12th

CHI +0.24 13th

CIN +0.07 14th

CLE +0.04 15th

BUF 0.00 16th

DAL −0.14 17th

ARI −0.18 18th

SEA −0.19 19th

DET −0.20 20th

MIN −0.24 21st

WAS −0.24 22nd

KC −0.36 23rd

LAC −0.44 24th

NYJ −0.47 25th

TB −0.49 26th

PHI −0.49 27th

LA −0.51 28th

BAL −0.84 29th

JAX −1.23 30th

OAK −1.27 31st

NO −1.85 32nd

Referee crews

Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: share of a win a game toward the home team.

Referee	Games	Judgment flags per game	Pre-snap per game	Toward home team
Walt Anderson	17	9.9	5.4	+0.1%
Craig Wrolstad	15	9.9	5.3	+6.7%
Adrian Hill	15	9.3	5.3	−7.1%
Jerome Boger	15	9.8	4.5	+4.6%
Bradley Rogers	15	9.4	4.9	+0.1%
Shawn Smith	16	9.6	4.6	+11.0%
Alex Kemp	15	9.3	4.8	+4.8%
Tony Corrente	17	8.8	5.2	−2.8%
Brad Allen	15	8.9	4.4	−2.4%
Ronald Torbert	15	8.8	4.5	+3.9%
Carl Cheffers	16	9.8	3.6	+2.1%
Shawn Hochuli	16	8.9	3.7	+1.4%
Clay Martin	15	7.1	5.1	−2.7%
John Hussey	17	7.7	4.4	−0.4%
Clete Blakeman	16	7.0	4.7	+0.4%
Bill Vinovich	17	7.1	4.4	+0.5%
Scott Novak	15	7.4	3.9	+5.9%

All referees since 2019 · 2019 luck rankings · Expected wins