2022 NFL season · final · regular season

Referee calls, 2022: who they helped

Judgment calls helped the Vikings most in 2022: +2.07 wins, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t, each weighted by the moment it came. They hurt the Browns most: −1.02 wins. The Cardinals were flagged the most, 117 times.

Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued by what it did to the helped team’s chance of winning at that moment, including any play it wiped out, so a call in a decided game counts for nothing and one at the turn of a close game for most of a win. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.06), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued

#	Team	Call luck, wins	Judgment flags against	For	Pre-snap flags against
1	Vikings	+2.07	46	79	42
2	Bengals	+1.13	52	67	29
3	Falcons	+0.90	46	62	22
4	Dolphins	+0.56	66	54	45
5	Broncos	+0.53	67	67	46
6	Cowboys	+0.51	64	54	40
7	Packers	+0.41	64	67	25
8	Cardinals	+0.29	62	57	55
9	Jaguars	+0.25	50	58	40
10	Giants	+0.24	70	66	36
11	Titans	+0.24	68	64	43
12	Chargers	+0.17	49	57	32
13	Panthers	+0.08	62	68	42
14	49ers	+0.02	58	62	36
15	Texans	−0.01	47	55	41
16	Saints	−0.03	63	54	36
17	Eagles	−0.07	57	54	33
18	Lions	−0.09	64	67	26
19	Rams	−0.12	52	49	24
20	Colts	−0.20	60	55	29
21	Bears	−0.24	51	53	29
22	Buccaneers	−0.29	56	64	43
23	Jets	−0.33	60	54	31
24	Ravens	−0.45	54	55	28
25	Patriots	−0.50	64	51	40
26	Chiefs	−0.50	68	70	19
27	Steelers	−0.51	61	59	33
28	Seahawks	−0.59	58	53	48
29	Bills	−0.66	58	56	34
30	Commanders	−0.85	59	57	33
31	Raiders	−0.95	70	58	43
32	Browns	−1.02	71	51	31

Call luck by team

MIN +2.07 1st

CIN +1.13 2nd

ATL +0.90 3rd

MIA +0.56 4th

DEN +0.53 5th

DAL +0.51 6th

GB +0.41 7th

ARI +0.29 8th

JAX +0.25 9th

NYG +0.24 10th

TEN +0.24 11th

LAC +0.17 12th

CAR +0.08 13th

SF +0.02 14th

HOU −0.01 15th

NO −0.03 16th

PHI −0.07 17th

DET −0.09 18th

LA −0.12 19th

IND −0.20 20th

CHI −0.24 21st

TB −0.29 22nd

NYJ −0.33 23rd

BAL −0.45 24th

NE −0.50 25th

KC −0.50 26th

PIT −0.51 27th

SEA −0.59 28th

BUF −0.66 29th

WAS −0.85 30th

LV −0.95 31st

CLE −1.02 32nd

Referee crews

Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: share of a win a game toward the home team.

Referee	Games	Judgment flags per game	Pre-snap per game	Toward home team
Carl Cheffers	18	7.6	4.8	+4.2%
Scott Novak	16	7.4	4.7	−2.7%
Tra Blake	16	8.3	3.8	0.0%
Brad Allen	17	6.3	5.6	+2.3%
Clete Blakeman	17	7.3	4.6	−3.3%
Shawn Hochuli	17	7.9	3.8	+5.7%
Clay Martin	17	7.6	4.1	+8.7%
Brad Rogers	16	7.9	3.4	+0.3%
Adrian Hill	17	7.1	4.2	+1.0%
Alex Kemp	17	6.8	4.5	+4.5%
Jerome Boger	16	6.8	4.3	−0.3%
Land Clark	16	7.1	3.9	+5.8%
Ron Torbert	17	6.9	3.9	−2.0%
Shawn Smith	16	6.4	4.5	+7.2%
John Hussey	17	5.6	3.8	+3.0%
Craig Wrolstad	17	6.5	2.8	+0.7%
Bill Vinovich	17	4.4	4.1	+4.4%

All referees since 2019 · 2022 luck rankings · Expected wins