2024 NFL season · final · regular season

Referee calls, 2024: who they helped

Judgment calls helped the Lions most in 2024: +1.63 wins, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t, each weighted by the moment it came. They hurt the Ravens most: −1.26 wins. The Jets were flagged the most, 137 times.

Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued by what it did to the helped team’s chance of winning at that moment, including any play it wiped out, so a call in a decided game counts for nothing and one at the turn of a close game for most of a win. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.06), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued

#	Team	Call luck, wins	Judgment flags against	For	Pre-snap flags against
1	Lions	+1.63	77	67	29
2	Cowboys	+1.48	67	81	61
3	Vikings	+1.11	53	73	57
4	Steelers	+0.82	55	74	47
5	Rams	+0.78	56	72	35
6	Panthers	+0.69	64	76	54
7	Bengals	+0.54	60	61	41
8	Seahawks	+0.46	70	68	49
9	Buccaneers	+0.37	63	67	45
10	Colts	+0.32	51	53	41
11	Raiders	+0.17	67	62	29
12	Falcons	+0.15	59	68	40
13	Cardinals	+0.11	61	59	31
14	Giants	+0.01	53	60	59
15	Dolphins	−0.04	68	69	46
16	Bills	−0.09	66	74	46
17	Eagles	−0.10	61	53	42
18	Chargers	−0.10	56	66	40
19	Texans	−0.13	71	59	48
20	Jets	−0.16	86	72	51
21	Chiefs	−0.21	64	63	30
22	Packers	−0.30	62	55	50
23	Bears	−0.33	50	60	60
24	Jaguars	−0.34	55	53	44
25	Browns	−0.42	56	66	63
26	Broncos	−0.50	69	55	38
27	Saints	−0.73	72	70	38
28	Titans	−0.78	70	70	60
29	Commanders	−0.92	68	58	41
30	49ers	−1.00	58	47	53
31	Patriots	−1.25	68	56	43
32	Ravens	−1.26	91	60	41

Call luck by team

DET +1.63 1st

DAL +1.48 2nd

MIN +1.11 3rd

PIT +0.82 4th

LA +0.78 5th

CAR +0.69 6th

CIN +0.54 7th

SEA +0.46 8th

TB +0.37 9th

IND +0.32 10th

LV +0.17 11th

ATL +0.15 12th

ARI +0.11 13th

NYG +0.01 14th

MIA −0.04 15th

BUF −0.09 16th

PHI −0.10 17th

LAC −0.10 18th

HOU −0.13 19th

NYJ −0.16 20th

KC −0.21 21st

GB −0.30 22nd

CHI −0.33 23rd

JAX −0.34 24th

CLE −0.42 25th

DEN −0.50 26th

NO −0.73 27th

TEN −0.78 28th

WAS −0.92 29th

SF −1.00 30th

NE −1.25 31st

BAL −1.26 32nd

Referee crews

Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: share of a win a game toward the home team.

Referee	Games	Judgment flags per game	Pre-snap per game	Toward home team
Clete Blakeman	17	9.1	6.3	−4.0%
Craig Wrolstad	18	8.4	6.5	−0.7%
Ron Torbert	18	8.9	5.0	+3.8%
Shawn Hochuli	17	7.8	6.0	−1.4%
Brad Rogers	16	8.3	5.5	−7.3%
Alex Kemp	17	8.6	4.9	+2.2%
Adrian Hill	17	8.8	4.5	−0.7%
Shawn Smith	16	6.6	6.2	+3.3%
Scott Novak	16	6.4	6.3	+2.1%
Clay Martin	17	7.5	5.2	+4.7%
Brad Allen	17	6.6	5.6	+2.1%
Tra Blake	16	6.4	5.5	−3.7%
Alan Eck	16	7.5	4.1	+5.3%
Bill Vinovich	17	5.9	5.6	−3.0%
Land Clark	17	6.3	4.9	−5.3%
John Hussey	17	7.4	3.7	+1.7%
Carl Cheffers	16	6.6	3.9	+0.5%

All referees since 2019 · 2024 luck rankings · Expected wins