2026 season · in progress
New Orleans Saints, 2026: game by game
The Saints went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.7 wins. Luck added 0.3: the 10th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–1.
Every game
How often the Saints win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Saints’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Fumble bounces | +0.18 | +1.6 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.18 | +4.8 |
| Judgment calls | +0.16 | +2.2 |
| Drops | +0.04 | −0.7 |
| Kicks | −0.07 | +1.6 |