2026 season · in progress
Philadelphia Eagles, 2026: game by game
The Eagles went 2–0 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.1 wins. Luck added 0.9: the 3rd-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 2–0.
Every game
How often the Eagles win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Commanders | W 24–22 | 41% | +59 |
| Week 2 | @ Titans | W 24–20 | 74% | +26 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Eagles’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.11 | +2.9 |
| Injuries | +0.03 | +1.3 |
| Judgment calls | −0.06 | −2.4 |
| Drops | −0.08 | +0.6 |
| Kicks | −0.09 | +3.7 |
| Fumble bounces | −0.11 | −1.6 |