2026 season · in progress
Seattle Seahawks, 2026: game by game
The Seahawks went 2–0 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.5 wins. Luck added 0.5: the 9th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–0.
Every game
How often the Seahawks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Patriots | W 13–10 | 77% | +23 |
| Week 2 | @ Cardinals | W 31–7 | 70% | +30 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Seahawks’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.10 | −1.6 |
| Rest | +0.02 | +0.8 |
| Fumble bounces | +0.02 | 0.0 |
| Kicks | −0.03 | −0.8 |
| Drops | −0.06 | −2.1 |
| Injuries | −0.16 | −5.9 |