2026 season · in progress
Arizona Cardinals, 2026: game by game
The Cardinals went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.8 wins. Luck added 0.2: the 12th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 0–0.
Every game
How often the Cardinals win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Chargers | W 26–14 | 49% | +51 |
| Week 2 | vs Seahawks | L 7–31 | 30% | −30 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Cardinals’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Injuries | +0.14 | +4.8 |
| Fumble bounces | +0.03 | +1.6 |
| Drops | −0.02 | −1.2 |
| Rest | −0.02 | −0.8 |
| Kicks | −0.07 | −0.8 |
| Judgment calls | −0.09 | −3.9 |