2026 season · in progress
Cincinnati Bengals, 2026: game by game
The Bengals went 2–0 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 1.4 wins. Luck added 0.6: the 6th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–0.
Every game
How often the Bengals win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Buccaneers | W 33–27 | 96% | +4 |
| Week 2 | @ Texans | W 20–6 | 44% | +56 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Bengals’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Kicks | +0.18 | +6.8 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.13 | +4.8 |
| Fumble bounces | +0.11 | +4.7 |
| Injuries | +0.05 | +1.8 |
| Judgment calls | −0.22 | −6.3 |