luckadjusted

2026 season · in progress

New York Giants, 2026: game by game

The Giants went 1–1 so far in 2026; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 0.2 wins. Luck added 0.8: the 4th-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 1–0.

Every game

How often the Giants win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

WeekGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Week 1 vs Cowboys W 28–20 15% +85
Week 2 @ Rams L 6–28 6% −6

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Where the luck came from

Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Giants’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.

KindWinsPoints
Drops+0.14+7.0
Fumble bounces+0.09+3.1
Judgment calls+0.09+5.0
Kicks+0.04+5.8
Injuries+0.03+1.3