One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The 49ers in one-score games

The 49ers haven’t played a one-score game yet in 2026; in 2025 they went 5–1, from play worth 4.3 wins in replays. Since 2019: 24–24 in 48 one-score games, 30.8 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the 49ers win in replays (regular season).

2026 0.0 0–0

2025 +0.7 5–1

2024 −3.1 2–6

2023 −1.3 1–3

2022 +0.2 3–1

2021 −1.4 5–5

2020 −2.3 3–5

2019 +0.4 5–3

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	0–0	0.0 of 0	0.0	2–0
2025	5–1	4.3 of 6	+0.7	12–5
2024	2–6	5.1 of 8	−3.1	6–11
2023	1–3	2.3 of 4	−1.3	12–5
2022	3–1	2.8 of 4	+0.2	13–4
2021	5–5	6.4 of 10	−1.4	10–7
2020	3–5	5.3 of 8	−2.3	6–10
2019	5–3	4.6 of 8	+0.4	13–3

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · San Francisco 49ers, every season