One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Dolphins in one-score games

The Dolphins haven’t played a one-score game yet in 2026; in 2025 they went 4–3, from play worth 3.4 wins in replays. Since 2019: 30–24 in 54 one-score games, 25.5 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Dolphins win in replays (regular season).

2026 0.0 0–0

2025 +0.6 4–3

2024 +1.3 4–4

2023 −0.8 4–3

2022 −0.2 6–5

2021 +0.5 4–3

2020 +1.4 3–4

2019 +1.7 5–2

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	0–0	0.0 of 0	0.0	0–2
2025	4–3	3.4 of 7	+0.6	7–10
2024	4–4	2.7 of 8	+1.3	8–9
2023	4–3	4.8 of 7	−0.8	11–6
2022	6–5	6.2 of 11	−0.2	9–8
2021	4–3	3.5 of 7	+0.5	9–8
2020	3–4	1.6 of 7	+1.4	10–6
2019	5–2	3.3 of 7	+1.7	5–11

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Miami Dolphins, every season