2019 season · final
Seattle Seahawks, 2019: game by game
The Seahawks went 11–5 in 2019; replayed with the same day’s form, their play was worth 7.1 wins. Luck added 3.9: the 3rd-luckiest team in the league. In one-score games they went 10–2.
Playoffs: 1–1, replay wins 1.3.
Every game
How often the Seahawks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Week | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Bengals | W 21–20 | 38% | +62 |
| Week 2 | @ Steelers | W 28–26 | 55% | +45 |
| Week 3 | vs Saints | L 27–33 | 31% | −31 |
| Week 4 | @ Cardinals | W 27–10 | 46% | +54 |
| Week 5 | vs Rams | W 30–29 | 43% | +57 |
| Week 6 | @ Browns | W 32–28 | 58% | +42 |
| Week 7 | vs Ravens | L 16–30 | 36% | −36 |
| Week 8 | @ Falcons | W 27–20 | 37% | +63 |
| Week 9 | vs Buccaneers | W 40–34 | 80% | +20 |
| Week 10 | @ 49ers | W 27–24 | 44% | +56 |
| Week 12 | @ Eagles | W 17–9 | 53% | +47 |
| Week 13 | vs Vikings | W 37–30 | 60% | +40 |
| Week 14 | @ Rams | L 12–28 | 13% | −13 |
| Week 15 | @ Panthers | W 30–24 | 79% | +21 |
| Week 16 | vs Cardinals | L 13–27 | 7% | −7 |
| Week 17 | vs 49ers | L 21–26 | 28% | −28 |
| Wild Card | @ Eagles | W 17–9 | 69% | +31 |
| Divisional round | @ Packers | L 23–28 | 57% | −57 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in wins: every lucky or unlucky play weighted by the moment it happened, so a missed kick at the end of a close game counts for far more than one in a blowout. Positive: in the Seahawks’ favor. At the fitted luck shares.
| Kind | Wins | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Kicks | +0.67 | +14.4 |
| 3rd & 4th downs | +0.27 | +0.5 |
| Fumble bounces | +0.14 | +9.4 |
| Judgment calls | −0.19 | −3.0 |